Courtiers Wealth Management
Courtiers Wealth Management

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Value stocks, market rotations and skin in the game

16 Jun 2023
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Despite the performance of tech companies that has seen the NASDAQ index in the US up well over 30%, Courtiers CIO, Gary Reynolds, says the Courtiers Investment Team won’t be blown off course and intends to stick to buying the sort of stocks “we’ve been buying for all our lives.”

So even though the MSCI World Value index, which is a proxy for the type of stocks which Courtiers favours is up just 3%, Gary’s not for turning. “Courtiers is a value investor because that’s the best way of investing for the long term.” This means sticking to companies that have got healthy balance sheets, generate cash and are not trading on stretched earnings. “That’s all we do. We do it relentlessly. We don’t change and we don’t chase returns.”

Courtiers is mainly concerned with getting returns for investors “that need their capital forever,” Gary explains. “What they don’t want is us rocking up and telling them we’ve just blown their capital by investing in a lot of small cap startups or overpriced tech companies.”

By adopting a disciplined value approach “you produce the returns that your clients and investors need to achieve their objectives and you do it with a lot less volatility than if you chase racy stocks.”

Indeed, anyone coming to Courtiers “wanting to get a piece of that action for the next six months” will be wasting their time, “I’m not going to buy those type of stocks.”

Just as he’s wary of siren calls saying, “buy big tech at 30 or 40 times earnings” Gary’s sceptical of those who say “it’s going to be different tomorrow”. The market believed it back at the height of the dot-com bubble in 1999-2000 “when everybody thought tech was going to change everything”. In the event, all it did was chase prices up even more resulting in the subsequent market crash.

For those who are comfortable with Courtiers’ value approach and are looking to invest for the long-term “now’s a great time to invest”, says Gary. Not only are our value stocks cheap compared to the market, they generate cash and they’re profitable. “It looks pretty good to me at the moment,” says Gary, who reveals that all his long-term term assets are in Courtiers Funds. “It’s called old-fashioned skin in the game and I think it’s the only way you should ever run money.”

Gary says the nature of investment management and the markets means there will be periods like the past four or five months when Courtiers “is not going to outperform”. Different investment styles have their period in the sun. He points out that earlier in the year, the Investment Team collected six Lipper Fund Awards for its performance. “The good news” is that when you get a radical swing or rotation like this towards growth stocks, “there’s a good chance with mean reversion” – the tendency of markets to revert back to their long-term average – that it’ll swing back the other way towards value stocks.

This is what occurred with Courtiers Funds in 2021 when after falling behind the market by June, a dramatic turnaround saw them outperform their peers by the end of December. So, though the first half of 2023 hasn’t been the best for value investors like Courtiers, Gary predicts that when he stands up at the next Client Seminar in December “things will look significantly better for us than it does today.” In the meantime, the Investment Team will carry on relentlessly doing what it always does – protecting clients’ wealth for the long term.

Important information 

Issued by Courtiers Asset Management Limited, CAM0423784. Courtiers Asset Management Limited is Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority – Register No: 616322. Address: 18 Hart Street, Henley on Thames, Oxfordshire RG9 2AU. Tel: 01491 578368. 

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future returns. The value of investments, and the income from them, can go down as well as up and is not guaranteed and you may not get back the amount originally invested. Any forecast, projection or target where provided is indicate only and is not guaranteed in any way. Certain types of funds might carry a greater investment risk than other investment funds. Further details of the risks are associated with investing in Courtiers funds can be found in the Key Investor Information Document or Prospectus, copies of which are available on request or at www.courtiers.co.uk. 

Disclaimer 

This communication is for information purposes only and should not be relied upon in making an investment decision. The views expressed by individuals and the business are based on market conditions at the date of issue and are subject to change without notice. The mention of any stocks or shares should not be taken as recommendation to deal and does not take into account the individual investor’s investment objective or risk profile. Where an investment or security is denominated in a different currency to the investor’s currency of reference, changes in rates of exchange may have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of or from that investment to the investor. Any third-party sites, or pages which are linked to the document, have not been reviewed by us and therefore we accept no responsibility for the authors or content of external link or pages. If you are interested in any of Courtiers Asset Management Limited’s range of funds, or require any financial advice, please speak to a financial adviser. 

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